In
late 2010, billionaire investor David Tepper made a big splash on CNBC. He
predicted that the ...�
In late 2010, billionaire investor David
Tepper made a big splash on CNBC. He predicted that the Federal Reserve@@@888s zero
interest rate environment and quantitative easing policies at the time would
bolster almost every investment in the U.S. Following this appearance, the
broader benchmark S&P 500 index would rip 45% higher over the next 2-1/2
years in a run now referred to as the "Tepper Rally."
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Yesterday, Tepper made a similar call on
CNBC although this time he was talking about Chinese stocks after the Chinese
government recently issued sweeping stimulus measures and began cutting
interest rates. "Everything," Tepper said when asked what Chinese
stocks to buy. "Everything... ETFs, I would do futures, everything."
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It@@@888s a big call, but Tepper and his fund@@@888s
track record of 28% annualized returns speaks for itself. And Tepper has made a
lot of his money with a simple strategy: "Don@@@888t fight the Fed." In
this case, it would be the Chinese government and central bank. Here are
Tepper@@@888s three largest Chinese equity positions.
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Alibaba: 12% of portfolio
E-commerce giant Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) is
the largest position in Tepper@@@888s Appaloosa Holdings. The position is worth
roughly 12% of the nearly $6.2 billion portfolio and was valued at $756 million
at the end of the second quarter of 2024.
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Alibaba is considered the Amazon of China,
which makes sense considering Amazon is Appaloosa@@@888s second-largest position.
Alibaba runs several massive businesses including the world@@@888s largest retail
e-commerce business based on gross merchandise value. It also operates the
world@@@888s fourth-largest cloud business and Asia Pacific@@@888s largest
infrastructure-as-a-service provider. Additionally, like most big tech stocks,
Alibaba has recently made a big push into artificial intelligence (AI).
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In early 2023, Alibaba announced plans to
split the company into six separate businesses, all with their own CEO and
board of directors and the ability to raise capital, potentially leading to
several initial public offerings (IPOs). Analysts at the time seemed to like
the idea because it would allow the company to realize more of its potential on
a sum-of-the-parts valuation and reduce regulatory risk.
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But earlier this year, the company paused
plans for two public offerings, citing difficult market conditions for IPOs.
Still, you@@@888ve got a company with a clear moat and strong growth prospects
trading at 12 times forward earnings. In comparison, Amazon trades at 40 times
forward earnings. If Chinese stimulus can awaken consumer demand, Alibaba is a
clear beneficiary.
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PDD Holdings: 4% of portfolio
Tepper seems to have a thing for
e-commerce, because Appaloosa@@@888s next largest Chinese position is another
multinational commerce company called PDD Holdings (NASDAQ: PDD). PDD has
several businesses including the online platform Pinduoduo, which is known for
its wide range of product offerings at low prices. The platform has a
"team purchase" concept in which consumers can invite others to group
deals for discounted prices.
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Other businesses owned by PDD include the
next-day grocery delivery service Duo Duo and the growing U.S. brand Temu,
another online retailer known for its low prices. PDD only trades at 11.5 times
forward earnings and has seen earnings double over the last year. This is part
of Tepper@@@888s thesis in which you can buy Chinese stocks trading at cheap
earnings multiples today that can generate double-digit growth.
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Baidu: 2.3% of portfolio
Given Tepper and Appaloosa@@@888s concentration
in tech and chip stocks, Baidu (NASDAQ: BIDU) is a logical company to be in the
mix. If there is a U.S. comp to Baidu it would probably be Alphabet. Baidu is
the dominant search engine in China. The company is also a big player in the
artificial intelligence space.
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In 2023, Baidu released its ChatGPT-like
assistant known as Ernie. Baidu@@@888s developer network, PaddlePaddle, has 10.7
million users who have created 860,000 different models. The company can also
create and manufacture its own chips.
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Baidu@@@888s roughly 37.5 billion market
capitalization pales in comparison to Alphabet@@@888s $2-plus trillion. Now, the
Chinese economy is in a very different place from the U.S. and has been hit
hard by deflationary pressure, a housing downturn, and weak consumer demand.
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Chinese AI companies may also run into
obstacles with the government@@@888s AI rules and laws. But given the size of
China@@@888s economy, there is tremendous potential. Baidu has seen good earnings
growth over the last two years, while its price-to-earnings multiple has fallen
to below 14.
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Should you invest $1,000 in Alibaba Group
right now?
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Source: www.finance.yahoo.com
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